Oklahoma Sooners: College Football TV Schedule & Gambling Picks - Week 4

After starting 11-3 against the spread, I regressed to the mean in Week 3. There’s no shame in that, but let’s see if I can bounce back during OU’s bye week. Unfortunately, this is a week of difficult lines, so I’m less than optimistic.

As usual, you can find the schedule and streaming information down at the bottom.

Tennessee at Florida (-14.0) - This is a bit of a tough one when considering UF’s QB situation. The loss of Feleipe Franks is obviously a setback, but it remains to be seen how large the drop-off will be behind center. Kyle Trask, a redshirt junior from Manvel, Texas, was more than ready when he was called upon last week, leading the Gators to crucial fourth quarter drives — including the go-ahead TD drive — in front of an amped-up crowd in Lexington.

The situation in Knoxville is obviously dire, but for what it’s worth, their overtime loss to BYU — a game they controlled for much of the evening — isn’t looking quite as embarrassing in hindsight. After a hitting the reset button against FCS opponent UT-Chattanooga, they might be able to keep things somewhat close against a Florida team that’s down a number of starters. Gambling pick: Tennessee keeps it under 14 and beats the spread in a loss. Under 49

Michigan at Wisconsin (-3.5) - After the scare against Army, the turnover-prone Wolverines will have to correct that issue against another team that is capable of controlling possession and chewing clock. On top of that, junior QB Jack Coan is the most capable signal caller Wisconsin has had in quite some time, so Michigan might actually have to bring its A-game offensively to match them. Is anyone confident in Shea Patterson and that offense’s ability to do so? Not me. Gambling pick: Wisconsin covers in MadTown. Over 44.5

Cal at Ole Miss (-2.5) - Cal is strong defensively (No. 15 in defensive SP+) and weak offensively (117th in offensive SP+), but the combined units were good enough to pull off the upset at Washington in Week 2. On offense, ehe Rebels aren’t exactly setting the world on fire themselves, so it’s highly likely that the folks down in Oxford will be treated to a regualr season version of the Cheez-It Bowl (or a Week 4 version of Arizona State-Michigan State). Gambling pick: Cal beats the spread and wins outright. Under 41.5

Auburn at Texas A&M (-3.5) - Auburn was incredibly fortunate to come out of Arlington with a win, and while true freshman Bo Nix certainly has some talent and some moxie, the inexperience is going to bite him eventually. Having said that, the defense is good enough to delay that process of quite some time.

Although Texas A&M was able to beat the spread at Clemson, they didn’t show quite as much offensive proficiency as I would’ve expected (albeit against an extremely formidable Brent Venables defense). Auburn’s defense is no slouch itself, so we might be in for a sloppy offensive affair. Gambling pick: Neither of these teams end up looking particularly good, but Texas A&M comes up with a home win and a cover against the freshman QB. Under 47.5

West Virginia at Kansas (-4.5) - I have absolutely no idea what to make of these two teams. As surprising as KU’s doubling up of Boston College happened to be, I might’ve been equally shocked by West Virginia’s performance against NC State. When all is said and done, I’d imagine they’ll actually be the bottom two in the Big 12 (Kansas State looks legitimately good), but they fact that neither of them are that bad is a nice feather in the cap for the league. Gambling pick: West Virginia covers. Over 48.5

Oklahoma State at Texas (-6.0) - Oklahoma State’s decade of dominance in this series (7-2 since 2010) is well-documented, so it’s fairly safe to say that the moment won’t be too big for the Cowboys. Additionally, the offense is superb, featuring the nation’s leading rusher (Chuba Hubbard), a prime candidate for the Biletnikoff (Tylan Wallace), an incredibly promising QB (Spencer Sanders) and an offensive line that is much-improved since 2018.

On the other side, Texas lost a lot of talent from last season’s defense, and it showed in the loss to LSU. However, the UT offense is a bit better than I expected after the crucial loss of LJ Humphrey, so this one could turn into a bit of a shootout.

Who am I rooting for? Neither of them, but I’m sure many of you are rooting for Oklahoma State. If it’s the other way around, that’s perfectly fine. The experience of an OU fan who grew up in Perkins, Oklahoma is a bit different from that of a person who came to OU from Southlake Carroll. Live your truth.

Either way, one of them is going to lose. Who will it be? Gambling pick: Oklahoma State beats the spread and ends up winning this game for the fifth year in a row, ending Texas’ CFP chances. Over 73

Notre Dame at Georgia (-14.5) - Do I think No. 7 Notre Dame is overrated? Not necessarily, but this is an absolutely horrible matchup for the Irish. Their biggest weakness is run defense, and their front seven will be up against a group that is probably this season’s best offensive line (I think Bedenbaugh’s boys will retake the crown in 2020, but for now it’s the Dawgs). Simply put, D’Andre Swift is going to have himself an evening in Athens. Gambling pick: Georgia covers. Over 58