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Welcome to GAMBLIN’ PICKS AFTER DARK, y’all!. Today has been a very busy day, and today’s hangover from last night’s show at the Jones Assembly (you should check it out if you’re in OKC!) certainly didn’t help matters. The result is an 11 p.m. CT publishing of an article, which is usually a big no-no unless it’s breaking news.
Anyway, head on down to the bottom of the page to see Saturday’s college football schedule, network info and live streaming links.
Oklahoma (-33) at Kansas - OU won’t be challenged in this one, but as is the case for a lot of these anticipated blowouts with large spreads, the potential for a backdoor cover against the backups is high. Add in the fact that this one is at 11 a.m. in front of what should be a dull crowd in Lawrence, AND the fact that this is occurring the week prior to OU-Texas, and I like the chances of the Oklahoma Sooners sleepwalking down the stretch. Gambling pick: Kansas cover late. Over 67.5
Iowa at Michigan (-4) - As plenty of people knew ahead of time, Michigan was massively overrated again in 2019. The deficiencies were exposed in a blowout loss to Wisconsin, and I wouldn’t expect the result to be too much different against Wisconsin Lite. Gambling pick: Iowa beats the spread and wins outright. Under 47.5
Oklahoma State (-10) at Texas Tech - The Red Raiders sans Alan Bowman are beyond brutal. There’s really not much else to say. This one should be over early. Gambling pick: Oklahoma State covers comfortably. Under 63
TCU at Iowa State (-3.5) - Iowa State’s two losses have come by a combined three points, and its defense is definitely good enough to give TCU freshman QB Max Duggan some issues. Having said that, the Cyclones will likely be without the program’s all-time sacks leader in JaQuan Bailey, which should make life slightly easier for Duggan as he finds his footing. The Council Bluffs native will look to keep the momentum going in a return trip to his home state after leading the Frogs to scoring drives on every possession of the first half in last weekend’s win over Kansas.
TCU ranks 19th nationally in defensive SP+ and will be facing an offense that has struggled to get going against decent competition. Gambling pick: TCU beats the spread and wins a close one. Over 44
Auburn (-2.5) at Florida - We’ve seen the Gators struggle against the likes of Miami and Kentucky, both of whom turned out to be hot garbage. On the other hand... is Auburn really that great? Defensively, the answer is ‘yes’. Offensively? The group led by true freshman Bo Nix struggled to get much going in a win over a BAD Texas A&M team and then put up very good numbers against an atrocious Mississippi State defense, so the jury’s still out to some degree. Nix is clearly a talented kid, and perhaps the true freshman’s performance against MSU gave him a nice boost in confidence entering the matchup at The Swamp. Gambling pick: Auburn covers. Under 48.5
Baylor at Kansas State (-1.5) - Baylor is tricky to peg, as it looked like a very complete team for three quarters against Iowa State before nearly throwing the game away in the final frame. It’s obvious, however, that the defense has improved by leaps and bounds, and the offense is much more physical and ground-oriented than in years past. Basically, this looks like a true Matt Rhule team.
Then there’s K-State, who is incredibly well-coached but — as we saw in Stillwater — lacks the offensive firepower to make a huge splash in league play. Having said that, Baylor isn’t exactly lighting up scoreboards thus far, so a close, slow-paced game could be in the works. Gambling pick: Baylor beats the spread and wins outright. Under 48.5
Cal at Oregon (-20) - This isn’t a knock on Oregon’s offense at all, but this pick simply comes down to the fact that I don’t think Oregon is going to be able to score enough on Cal to win by 20. Gambling pick: Cal beats the spread. Over 46
Saturday TV Schedule (ET)
Matchup | Time (ET) | TV | Streaming |
---|---|---|---|
Matchup | Time (ET) | TV | Streaming |
Utah State at #5 LSU | 12:00 PM | SEC Network | WatchESPN.com |
#6 Oklahoma at Kansas | 12:00 PM | ABC | WatchESPN.com |
Kent State at #8Wisconsin | 12:00 PM | ESPNU | WatchESPN.com |
Purdue at #12 Penn State | 12:00 PM | ESPN | WatchESPN.com |
#14 Iowa at #19 Michigan | 12:00 PM | FOX | FoxSportsGo.com |
#21 Oklahoma State at Texas Tech | 12:00 PM | FS1 | FoxSportsGo.com |
South Florida at UConn | 12:00 PM | None | CBSSports.com |
TCU at Iowa State | 12:00 PM | ESPN2 | WatchESPN.com |
Maryland at Rutgers | 12:00 PM | BTN | FoxSportsGo.com |
Tulane at Army | 12:00 PM | CBSSN | GoArmyWestPoint.com |
Boston College at Louisville | 12:30 PM | ACCNX | WatchESPN.com |
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan | 3:00 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
#7 Auburn at #10 Florida | 3:30 PM | CBS | CBSSports.com |
Bowling Green at #9 Notre Dame | 3:30 PM | NBC | NBCSports.com |
#11 Texas at West Virginia | 3:30 PM | ABC | WatchESPN.com |
Ohio at Buffalo | 3:30 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
Western Michigan at Toledo | 3:30 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
Ball State at Northern Illinois | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | WatchESPN.com |
Arkansas State at Georgia State | 3:30 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
Baylor at Kansas State | 3:30 PM | ESPN2 | WatchESPN.com |
Illinois at Minnesota | 3:30 PM | BTN | FoxSportsGo.com |
Air Force at Navy | 3:30 PM | CBSSN | CBSSports.com |
Virginia Tech at Miami | 3:30 PM | ESPN | WatchESPN.com |
Marshall at Middle Tennessee | 12:30 PM | None | |
Memphis at UL Monroe | 12:45 PM | ESPNU | WatchESPN.com |
Northwestern at Nebraska | 4:00 PM | FOX | FoxSportsGo.com |
North Carolina at Georgia Tech | 4:00 PM | ACC Network | WatchESPN.com |
Troy at Missouri | 4:00 PM | SEC Network | WatchESPN.com |
Arizona at Colorado | 4:30 PM | Pac-12 Networks | Pac-12.com |
Western Kentucky at Old Dominion | 6:00 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
#3 Georgia at Tennessee | 7:00 PM | ESPN | WatchESPN.com |
Rice at UAB | 7:00 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
UMass at Florida International | 7:00 PM | ESPN3 | WatchESPN.com |
#25 Michigan State at #4 Ohio State | 7:30 PM | ABC | WatchESPN.com |
Tulsa at #24 SMU | 7:30 PM | ESPNU | WatchESPN.com |
Vanderbilt at Ole Miss | 7:30 PM | SEC Network | WatchESPN.com |
California at #13 Oregon | 8:00 PM | FOX | FoxSportsGo.com |
Pittsburgh at Duke | 8:00 PM | ACC Network | WatchESPN.com |
Liberty at New Mexico State | 8:00 PM | None | FloFootball.com |
UTSA at UTEP | 8:00 PM | ESPN+ | ESPN+ |
Oregon State at UCLA | 9:00 PM | Pac-12 Networks | Pac-12.com |
San Diego State at Colorado State | 10:00 PM | ESPN2 | WatchESPN.com |
#15 Washington at Stanford | 10:30 PM | ESPN | WatchESPN.com |
#16 Boise State at UNLV | 10:30 PM | CBSSN | CBSSports.com |