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Big 12 Bowl Projections: Another trip to New Orleans for the Oklahoma Sooners?

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Baker Mayfield vs. Alabama’s defense would be a sight to behold.

Oklahoma v Oklahoma State Photo by Brett Deering/Getty Images

Based on the remaining schedules and what I’ve seen so far, here’s where I think each Big 12 team will go bowling this winter:

Oklahoma: Sugar Bowl - Jan. 1, 7:45 p.m. CT (ESPN)

How they’d get there: If Oklahoma wins out — which I think it will in spite of its defense — I think they’ll likely be seeded fourth behind the SEC champion, the ACC champion and potentially Notre Dame. Oklahoma has a very difficult road ahead, but I just don’t think anything of the remaining teams will be able to keep up with Baker Mayfield. That man is on fire.

Likely opponent: Alabama

If the Crimson Tide wins out, they’ll be placed in the Sugar Bowl (since geography favors the No. 1 seed) against the No. 4 seed, which I predict will be OU. This would be an incredibly fun matchup for fans of Oklahoma, Alabama and college football in general. Also, an excuse to go to New Orleans is always welcome. Traveling OU fans should know NOLA like the back their hand by now, and they also have a helpful guide of dos and don’ts at their disposal.

Oklahoma State: Fiesta Bowl - Dec. 30, 3:00 p.m. CT (ESPN)

How they’d get there: Oklahoma State has a great chance to win out, which probably won’t be good enough to earn a berth in the Big 12 title game. However, it would likely be good enough to put them in a New Year’s Six bowl, and the desert would be the likely destination.

Likely opponent: Washington

The Pac-12’s chances of getting into the College Football Playoff are slim, and its usual New Year’s Six bowl tie-in is doubling as one of the semifinals this season. I’d give the Huskies a slight edge over Washington State and a moderate edge over USC.

TCU: Alamo Bowl - Dec. 28, 8 p.m. (ESPN)

How they’d get there: TCU’s remaining regular season slate following a potential loss to OU (Texas Tech, Baylor) isn’t terribly daunting, so they’d get a rematch with Oklahoma provided Oklahoma State takes down Iowa State (which I think they will). It’s very tough to beat a team a second time, but I think OU ends up doing it in Arlington. That third TCU loss would probably put them behind two-loss Oklahoma State in the CFP rankings, which would send them to San Antonio.

Likely opponent: USC

USC’s only remaining regular season games are Colorado and USC, and I think they win both en route to a berth in the Pac-12 title game. A loss there would put them at 10-3 and they’d probably get the nod over 9-3 Washington State.

Iowa State: Camping World Bowl - Jan. 1, 12 p.m. CT (ABC)

How they’d get there: If the Cyclones lose at home to Oklahoma State this weekend, they’ll have to beat Kansas State and Baylor to finish with eight wins. The Cyclones will go bowling for the first time since 2012 and their fans are probably pretty enthused about that. They’d likely get the edge over an eight-win WVU squad on account of the fact that the Mountaineers played in this game last season. Note: This was the Russell Athletic Bowl last season.

Likely opponent: Virginia Tech

The ACC will likely have one team in the CFP and another in a New Year’s Six, and a third team would end up in this one. VT will probably finish 10-2, so this will all depend on what Miami does from here on out. If the Hurricanes split two games against Notre Dame and Clemson, they’ll likely be in one of the CFP/NY6 bowls. If the ‘Canes beat Notre Dame and lose to Clemson, they’ll likely go to the Orange Bowl. If it’s the other way around, and CFP berth seems probable. Both scenarios would definitely put VT in this bowl, and they’d probably be there even if Miami loses both games. I think a two-loss Miami team would still get an Orange Bowl invite, right?

West Virginia: Texas Bowl - Dec. 27, 8 p.m. CT (ESPN)

How they’d get there: West Virginia’s remaining schedule includes a game in Manhattan, and home contest vs. Texas and a trip to Norman. Not only will winning at OU will obviously be a tall task, the other two are also far from guaranteed wins. If this team finishes 8-4 or 7-5, this one seems likely. If it finishes 6-6, Texas Tech or Texas would be a more likely selection due to geography. Hell, that could happen even if WVU doesn’t finish 6-6, so this one is tricky.

Likely opponent: LSU

The SEC does things a bit differently with bowls, as the conference itself actually decides which team to send to each bowl with which it is aligned (as opposed to the bowl itself picking a team). LSU and Texas A&M make the most sense due to geography, and Texas A&M played in the Texas Bowl last season. LSU seems like the call here. Arkansas could potentially enter the conversation if it was to win out and finish 7-5, but that doesn’t seem likely.

Texas: Liberty Bowl - Dec. 30, 11:30 a.m. CT (ABC)

How they’d get there: As much as I’d like to say otherwise, Kansa is going to lose to Texas in football this Saturday. The ‘Horns will then need one more win in its final two matchups — West Virginia in Morgantown or Texas Tech in Austin. I think it’ll actually happen for them in the latter game.

Likely opponent: Missouri

Yep, you read that correctly. The Tigers currently sit at 4-5 with games against Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Arkansas remaining in the regular season. They’re also playing better than all three of those teams at the moment.

The Remaining Teams

Kansas State: It’s highly likely that the Wildcats lose out against West Virginia, Oklahoma State and Iowa State to finish 5-7, but they would still technically be eligible for a bowl in that scenario. Kansas State’s APR situation is decent, so a trip to the Cactus Bowl is a possibility.

Texas Tech: It’s reasonable to expect the Red Raiders to beat Baylor this weekend, but they close out the season vs. TCU and at Texas. Their APR situation isn’t favorable, so they’ll probably be left out if they don’t reach six wins.