Outside of the NCAA tourney, it's the second (or probably third, but I'm not an NFL guy so sue me) most exciting time of the year for all the degenerate gamblers amongst us (you know, if gambling were legal. Which it's not, wink-wink). College football odds have been leaking out, depending on your source, but today popular online wager site Bodog released a plethora off both team and player prop bets. I've always found it interesting to compare what I think I know about my favorite team compared to what Vegas thinks, so let's check out some the odds released today and see what you all think.
First up, we'll go over some of the over/under team prop bets for OU and some other Big XII-2 teams.
- Oklahoma Sooners Points Per Game (season) - 38 points. Over (-120) / Under (-120). Initially I thought this looked a little low, but having time to think about it this might be pretty close. I mean to win the over, they'd essentially have to average 40 points a game. Now I'm confident in our offense, but that would be a pretty impressive accomplishment. For comparisons sake, Oregon is at 41 and Boise State 42 1/2 which were the only teams higher than OU that I could find.
- Oklahoma Sooners Regular Season Wins - 10. Over (-150) / Under (+120). Gotta take the over here and it's a pretty easy decision in my mind. Unless some catastrophic injury befalls our Sooners, I think at a minimum we get to 10 and you win your money back.
Now for, in my opinion, the more interesting individual player prop bets.
- Landry Jones Total Passing Yards (season) - 3600.5. Over (-145) / Under (+105). Landry put up 4700+ last year so you'd think the over is a no-brainer. Personally, I'd be just fine if his yards came down a little bit and our RBs went up.
- Landry Jones Total Passing Touchdowns (season) - 32 1/2. Over (-135) / Under (-105). Again, last year Landry had 38 passing TDs so Vegas is clearly betting his numbers come down. I've got the over here.
- Justin Blackmon Total Receiving Yards (season) - 1100. Over (-105) / Under (-135). Does Blackmon have an injury I'm not aware of? 1100, that's all? Take the over and thank me later.
- Ryan Broyles Total Receiving Yards (season) - 1150.5. Over (-130) / Under (-110). Interesting to me that Broyles total is higher than Blackmon given that he has Stills to take catches away and Blackmon has, well nobody.
- Ryan Broyles Total Receiving TDs (season) - 13 1/2. Over (-135) / Under (-105). Don't hate, but I actually like the under here. I just feel stronger about him being on the 12-13 side of things than I do at 14+. Not because of anything he won't do, but more because I expect Stills to take another step and Dejuan Miller to have a big senior season.
- Big 12-Who will have the most passing yards per game (season)? Brandon Weeden (+175), Landry Jones (-300), RGIII (+750). Wow! Landry is the heavy favorite here. Surprised to see Weeden isn't closer, or even the favorite honestly.
- Big 12-Who will have the most passing TDs (season)? Brandon Weeden (+125), Landry Jones (-200), RGIII (+700), Garrett Gilbert (+1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000). Okay, I may have made that last one up. Same story here though Landry isn't quite as big a favorite over Weeden.
- Big 12-Who will have the most rushing yards per game (season)? Cyrus Gray (9/4), Henry Josey (7/1), James Sims (11/2), Joseph Randle (9/2), Malcolm Brown (11/4), Roy Finch (13/4). No shock here with A&M's Gray as the favorite, unless you consider Christine Michael not being included I suppose.
- Big 12-Who will have the most rushing TDs (season)? Cyrus Gray (9/4), Henry Josey (15/2), James Sims (7/1), Joseph Randle (19/4), Malcolm Brown (5/2), Roy Finch (7/2). Vegas really likes the UT freshman to hit pay dirt early and often apparently just barely coming in behind the explosive A&M back Gray.
- Big 12-Who will have the most receiving yards (season)? Jeff Fuller (19/4), Justin Blackmon (2/1), Kendall Wright (11/2), Mike Davis (13/2), Ryan Broyles (7/4), T.J. Moe (23/4). As expected, a very tight race between the two top dogs. Shocked at the almost disrespect to Fuller. Oh, and save the "our offense is going to be so balanced" A&M fans, we get it.
- Big 12- Who will have the most receiving TDs (season)? Jeff Fuller (19/4), Justin Blackmon (2/1), Kendall Wright (11/2), Mike Davis (13/2), Ryan Broyles (7/4), T.J. Moe (23/4). Well that was easy, copy aaaaand paste. Kind of feel like Vegas mailed it in here as not a single odd changed from the most receiving yards group. Fuller is a great value bet here IMO.
So there you have it you high rollers out there. Go forth and bet wisely. Very wisely!