BCS Top 10 Red Zone Offenses
by OnlyOneOU on Oct 17, 2011 11:10 AM CDT
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The current debate is the Oklahoma red zone offense and the ability, or lack there of, to punch it in. While we here at CCM constantly compare ourselves to the media favorites in the Alabama Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers, where do we stand from a statistical stand point? There is no doubt that trading 3 points for 7 points will get any team into trouble especially in a BCS Bowl Game. Here is the stat breakdown:
| Team | Games Played | Attempts | Scores | Score % | TD | TD % | FG | FG% |
| LSU Tigers | 7 | 35 | 34 | 97.14 | 28 | 80.00 | 6 | 12.14 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 7 | 34 | 30 | 88.24 | 21 | 61.76 | 9 | 26.47 |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 6 | 34 | 31 | 91.18 | 19 | 55.88 | 12 | 35.29 |
| Oklahoma St. Cowboys | 6 | 40 | 37 | 92.50 | 28 | 70.00 | 9 | 22.50 |
| Boise St. Broncos | 6 | 34 | 27 | 79.41 | 25 | 73.53 | 2 | 5.88 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | 6 | 33 | 32 | 96.97 | 29 | 87.88 | 3 | 9.09 |
| Clemson Tigers | 7 | 31 | 25 | 80.65 | 19 | 61.29 | 6 | 19.35 |
| Stanford Cardinal | 6 | 31 | 31 | 100.00 | 25 | 80.65 | 6 | 19.35 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks | 6 | 26 | 25 | 96.15 | 19 | 73.08 | 6 | 23.08 |
| Oregon Ducks | 6 | 30 | 28 | 93.33 | 24 | 80.00 | 4 | 13.33 |
Stanford remains the only team capable of scoring in the red zone each and every time while our beloved Sooners score over 90% of the time. We as fans are unsatisfied knowing that fact that TDs in the red zone are few and far between. A statistical look shows that Oklahoma has literally a 50/50 shot at scoring a TD while in the red zone. Not the numbers fans want to see in the chase for eight.
However, the biggest confusion is the notion that Alabama (who everyone expects Oklahoma to play in the NCG) has this elite red zone offense. They have a power runner in Trent Richardson but are just above the Sooners in red zone TDs scored and the third worst statistically. If the case were for LSU, there would be no question but to compare OU to Bama is a bit ludicrous seeing as their numbers are roughly the same with the Sooners converting more red zone trips into scores.
This simple diagram does not change the fact that Oklahoma has a problem, a problem that has persisted for some time now and has no end in sight. It most likely will not change the minds of many readers on Bama either but if there are teams to fear in the red zone, fans might want to start looking toward Stanford and Wisconsin.
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Good post!
Recd
I really like the numerical support for the eye-test findings. We know it’s bad, but the numbers show just how tenuous our success in the RZ has been. The part that really scares me (I wonder what the official numbers are) is what is our TD percentage inside the +5? That is where championship teams shine; you get inside the 5 and you ARE scoring 6. It’s an attitude that, unfortunately, I don’t see with this bunch.
Great stuff. It really supports my claim that Bob should throw whatever money he can at the oline coach from Wisconsin.
Very Interesting, got to get the TD% percentage up around 70% by the end of the year IMO.
"I feel fortunate.... It's just great to get another championship." Bob Stoops
GREAT POST!
the shocking part to me was how many times OSU has been in the red zone, and how many touchdowns they’ve scored.
After looking at this I’m not as worried…we are only off a TD here or there from Bama and LSU.
Actually
9 TDs with only one fewer trip to LSU and 2 TDs to Bama. Bama also has a very non-descript QB and a pedestrian passing game.
My concern isn’t just these numbers. It is a habit, a pattern, that started a long time ago and has been allowed to continue. This production has become the rule for the OU RZ offense…not the exception.
My concern is that OU this problem against defenses like Kansas. It’s not like OU has played top-tier defenses and has struggled in the red zone. OU has struggled in the red zone against good, average, and well-below average defenses.
The red zone problems are the #1 reason why OU might not win the NC or Bedlam. The second reason is a total lack of power running game, and this directly correlates with the red zone issues.
by SoonerSunDevil on Oct 17, 2011 12:51 PM CDT up reply actions
They are also the reason we're going for #8 this year
Instead of #9. These same red zone issues are what cost of the UF game in 2008-09.
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This
Couple that with DeMarco’s injury. No offense to Chris Brown or Mossis Madu, but they aren’t DeMarco Murray.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, OU lost that game because: (1) The red zone struggles; (2) DeMarco’s injury; and (3) it was a home game for Florida.
by SoonerSunDevil on Oct 17, 2011 2:17 PM CDT up reply actions
Great post
Still don’t understand where Millard and the TE’s go when it’s first and goal. Still wonder if coaches are saving something for later. (Diamond formation?)
"Gentlemen we must all hang together, or assuredly we will all hang separately."
Benjamin Franklin
by leatherneck1061 on Oct 17, 2011 5:17 PM CDT reply actions
Jones
Part of the problem is Jones. He seems to lock onto one receiver though several are running routes. The other problem seems to be the coaches thinking that trying the same thing over and over will produce different results when things finally click. IMO that hasn’t happened in years. Line up Millard at TB, Haywood at FB and you could still pass out of that formation with Hanna and Ratteree at TE and a WR. There is no problem with lining up and everyone knowing it’s a run and if it’s about pounding the €%# with the rock. Millard is a beast, fast and just damn nasty.
Hopefully we’ll get to see some of that with Blake Bell. Could you imagine Bell, Millard, Brandon Williams/Alex Ross in a backfield?!
by SoonerSunDevil on Oct 17, 2011 6:41 PM CDT up reply actions
yes I can!!!! Why cant our staff????
you dont have to sell out to the devil, just do it enough to work & give some variety of formations….. I am all for underexposing our offense against inferior opponents. BUT FIX THIS PROBLEM!
No
Can’t happen. According to some people here, we aren’t allowed to mention Bell’s name because Landry is awesome.
That is all.
Landry is awesome. He’s fantastic. I am damn proud that he is our QB. And I wouldn’t mind seeing Bell play in some situations. I think it would be fantastic if we had 4-5 plays a game with Bell at QB in an option type setting. Just put Bell at QB, Whaley and Finch/Williams/Clay at RB, Millard as FB, and run a few plays.
Bell can run like a gazelle. He’s got a cannon for an arm. He is not LJ, but he can do a few things. I would love to see 4-5 plays a game where there is a chance for a QB run, a double option, etc. Nothing crazy, but something where we can line it up and smash someone in the mouth.
by SoonerSunDevil on Oct 18, 2011 10:55 AM CDT up reply actions
If this weekedn they thought they were "working on it" they were wrong.
I can buy to a certain extent that they were short 2 starters on the line, one of them being the center. But I am still just shocked at the play calling. Jones made bad passes, but it was like watching A&M all over again. Same plays over & over
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