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My Letter To Sports Illustrated

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If you believe in the jinx then O-State has been marked for death

So Sports Illustrated sends me this letter promoting their College Football Preview edition thinking that I’d be all excited about Oklahoma’s number three ranking, which I am. However, there was one thing that really got me fired up with curiosity. Why does it seem that everyone is picking the Longhorns to win the South? SI isn’t the only publication to do so and it’s apparent that the Longhorns are the popular choice but my question is why. Is it coaching, personnel, x’s & o’s or could it possibly be a sympathy choice? Motivated by this line of thought I sent the following email to them.

Star-divide

I’d be curious to know the logic behind picking Texas ahead of OU. Is it an X’s & O’s decision or was it based on sympathy from the Horns not making the Big 12 Championship game last year?

 

Don’t get me wrong. I’m not saying that it’s a given that OU will win the division either, but while the Sooners are replacing four offensive linemen the Longhorns are replacing four defensive linemen. Both schools have great quarterbacks but OU also has the best tight end in the nation and the last I checked Texas doesn’t have a tight end to speak of. OU is returning two 1,000 yard rushers at running back and Texas is very much unproven at running back. Texas is also replacing two linebackers and one of their starting corners.

 

I realize that mostly I see the Big 12 World through crimson and cream glasses which sometimes taints my judgment but other than a non-conference schedule that would make Bill Snyder chuckle, I don’t think Texas has much else in their favor as far as a national championship run goes. This is even proven by SI’s All-American Team in which only one Longhorn is mentioned and he’s in the wrong position. Sergio Kindle is a defensive end now but SI has him as an All-American linebacker.

 

To be honest, both Oklahoma and Texas have a lot to prove before anyone can pencil them in to the BCS Championship game but I would like to know, for the record, the logic behind picking Texas.  

 

At least with O-State on the regional cover and Texas the pick to win the conference we won’t have to worry about the dreaded SI Jinx popping up to bite Sooners.  

 

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Reasons to pick Texas over OU

Most experts agree it’s easier to replace a D-line than an O-line. OU’s tremendous O-line last year was a major factor in Bradford’s huge year.

OU is also losing major talent at WR (which can be reloaded from other players) and safety (which can’t)

Texas has one of the best secondaries in college football. This will help shore up the D-line.

Coaching – “Big game” Bob is a thing of the past. One bowl win in 6 years, and that was the Holiday Bowl in 2005, which was the year that all the victories were vacated ( and later reinstated) for using paid players.

by Rosey on Aug 13, 2009 4:22 PM CDT reply actions  

I am wondering Rosey, what do you consider “one of the best secondaries in college football”? As someone who lives in Texas, I can say that not many people, share your confidence. Blake Gideon for one was out of position 75% of the time. It is much easier to replace a safety than a corner, which Texas must. The projected OU safeties saw significant playing time with Nic Harris playing nickel back & “spying” (hate that term) playing up with qb’s such as Reesing, Daniel, Robinson & Harrell. (Lets see ~50% of conference games). Also, I dont think that I would quantify a secondary who failed to push Crabtree out of bounds as “one of the best”. My 7 year old & 3 year old have put up bigger shoves….maybe it wouldnt have mattered, but didnt Texas Tech have a “contest winner” kicker. What are the odds of hitting a field goal?

Most OU fans realize the depth in the secondary has been an issue since Donte Nicholson left early, but to call Texas one of the best secondaries is flat out crazy. And let me know when you have a running back, OU’s 4th string could start at Texas. I personally look for Texas to have that Missouri mentality that worked so well in 08. A mad team, feeling cocky (see Daniel, Chase, Maclin, Jeremy) isnt necessarily a good thing. And sorry, nice kid, but Colt McCoy is no Vince Young.

by OU JJ on Aug 13, 2009 5:37 PM CDT reply actions  

Are you joking about Blake Gideon? His entire reputation is built on being tactically perfect. He’s NEVER out of position. He gets beat, yes, but it’s almost always a matter of physical disadvantage (see the Pryor touchdown, for example) rather than a mistake he has made. I’m thinking you might not have watched much the Longhorns at all, or maybe you actually meant Earl Thomas, who is a very gifted safety, but spent much of the first half of 2008 out of position.

by burntorangehorn on Aug 15, 2009 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Having a Texas Ex as a spouse we watch all the horn games (DVRd of course unless OU is on the road) also. Yes I mean Blake Gideon, he spent much of the time running around waiting to make a hit instead of actually covering. Out of position probably bad words, but his cover skills are lacking – he prefers to jar the reciever. None the less, Texas does not have one of the best secondaries in the nation. No slam, intended, OU has had some that couldnt cover my mother.

by OU JJ on Aug 15, 2009 6:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

LOL, Zach Robinson is just waiting for a goal line fumble…. that is the best part of bedlam, watching him lose the ball on the goal line & getting the defense all fired up…(06 trying to stretch in in Stillwater, 07 trying to sneak in on 4th down, & 08 going for 2)…

by OU JJ on Aug 13, 2009 5:39 PM CDT reply actions  

Actually

ccmachine, the horns return 7 starters on defense, so your math of replacing 4 d-linemen and 2 linebackers doesn’t add up. Texas will only be replacing 3 starters from the d-line and 1 from the secondary. The linebacking crew is back and hopefully will be as good as y’alls.

Oh and OUJJ, one big difference between Missouri 08 and Texas 09 is that the horns have proven they can beat the sooners in a big game, something Missouri failed at twice in 07.

by 2Cor12:9 on Aug 13, 2009 11:49 PM CDT reply actions  

You're Right

It is three on the d-line that was my mistake. However, with the move of Sergio (Crash My Car) Kindle to DE the only returning starter at LB is Muckelroy. So in reality Texas is replacing 3 on the DL, 2 LB and a corner.

by ccmachine on Aug 14, 2009 12:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

First of all, your math is still wrong, no matter whether you’re counting Kindle as returning to the line or to the linebackers. If you’re counting him with the line, Lamarr Houston remains, so with Kindle, Texas only needs two new defensive linemen to start. If you’re putting him with linebackers, then Texas lost just Rashad Bobino. He was a dedicated WYSWYG contributor, and a real stand-up kid, but I find it odd that you discount Jared Norton, who had as many starts (7) as and far better production than Rashad Bobino did in 2008. So again, you’re wrong, no matter how you slice it.

By the way, it’s going to be fun to watch people who expect to see an actual dropoff from Chykie Brown and Ryan Palmer to Chykie Brown and Aaron Williams. I know Stoops and Co. won’t make the same underestimation you are.

by burntorangehorn on Aug 15, 2009 5:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

No, It Really Isn't

You can’t count Kindle as a returning starter to the d-line because he wasn’t one. He may have played there every now and then but he isn’t a returning starter. That means, with Kindle included, the Longhorns are replacing three linemen. Also, since he’s moved to the line you can’t count him as a returning starter at linebacker either because someone elese will be playing that position. So they have two new starters at linebacker also.

by ccmachine on Aug 16, 2009 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

By that logic, Trent Williams is not a returning starter. He didn’t start at left tackle, so moving from another position, he’s not returning. And even if one were to ignore that, if Norton’s not a returning starter at MLB for Texas, then Trent Williams isn’t a returning starter on the offensive line for OU, because both were injury replacements.

by burntorangehorn on Aug 16, 2009 3:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

Close

He’s not a returning starter at left tackle (although he did start the season opener at left tackle) but he is a returning starter on the offensive line because he started all 14 games on the line last year.

by ccmachine on Aug 16, 2009 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

Okay, so when considering that Kindle’s playing a position (buck) that puts him on BOTH the defensive line and back at linebacker…well, does that still mean he’s not a returning starter for any position? And if so, do you have any idea how ridiculous that sounds?

by burntorangehorn on Aug 16, 2009 9:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

Here we go again :)

 It’s that time of year. Great e-mail that CC sent to SI.

by scarab on Aug 14, 2009 7:38 AM CDT reply actions  

Dogdays of Summer

Football is just around the corner and the boards are heating up. We’re looking forward to the revenge game and the Big 12 championship “usually” is determined her for both of us

McCoy doesn’t have to be VY. He is 2-1 in the RRS.

Receivers running the wrong routes can make a QB look terrible and turnovers are huge.

Defense wins championships and it all starts with the front 7. Texas may run a 3-4 scheme and you guys will runs a 4-3. With all of the passing attempts and nickle and dime packages, we’ll see how this plays out. With a less experienced offensive line, a confusing and stunting defense might see success.

The speed at which your 2 safeties adapt could be pivotal as well.

Having 2 rb’s rush for 1,000 yards is an advantage if the line does their part. You have to look at total team yards in rushing. Does it matter who gets them or if you get them? First of all, Colt can make plays with his feet and that adds a dimension to the offense that the defense has to prepare for. Bradford is a great QB, but he doesn’t have that ability. Texas had 194 yards rushing in last year’s RRS and OU had 71 or the net was Texas 161 to 48. I don’t understand how you guys feel that you have the advantage in the running game when the stats clearly show otherwise.

This series has always run in cycles for both programs. From 2000 – 2004 OU dominated. I think the contrary is playing out lately.

 Muschamp has returned the swagger back to our defense. In about 2 months we’ll settle it on the field. After the late 80’s and 90’s, it’s great to have the series mean so much to the national college football landscape.

by stllonghorn on Aug 14, 2009 8:55 AM CDT reply actions  

fundamentally

good secondaries don’t help “shore up” a D-line. in fact, it’s more often than not the opposite. if a D-line cannot get pressure, a good QB can tear apart most any secondary, regardless of how talented they are (or think they are). just ask mizzou.

there are always holes in the defense and if a QB has time, he will find them. especially bradford or mccoy. the texas D-line vs the OU O-line is a wash to me. both are replacing folks. even if you throw blitzing LB’s in there, it evens out with talent such as gresham, clapp, brown, eldrige, and murray (some of OU’s best) helping block the blitz. by the time Oct 17 rolls around, the edge might be in OU’s favor, after going through tougher non-conference tests and having 5 games to gel. kindle’s (supposedly) good, but right now it seems like a 1-man operation on the front 7 at texas. OU has veteran options to help with protection. regardless, if texas gets a small nod here, i could understand, but it should be a smaller nod than it’s getting nationally. you would think we have all an all-freshman O-line while texas has veteran seniors or something.

OU D-line vs texas O-line boils down to OU’s depth in my opinion. Both lines will make plays but I think the D-line rotation wears out texas O-line as the game rolls on. Still pretty even for the first half.

by matty in dallas on Aug 14, 2009 1:08 PM CDT reply actions  

O-STATE

I think this is going to be a big year for OSU and both sooners and horns will lose to them

jimmy mills

by miljam39 on Aug 14, 2009 6:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Can easily see OSU beating Texas in Stillwater where weird things happen. I am confident OU will play OSU in “a great way most certainly” in Norman (sorry it may be tough, but OU will not lose).

by OU JJ on Aug 14, 2009 8:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

OSU Lost Pettigrew (who killed us last year) and outside of Dez Bryant they have nothing at WR.

I don’t recall OSU being especially stacked on the defensive side of the ball either. Not saying it’ll be easy but I think our defense plays well enough to hold them back.

by pleaseplaykindle on Aug 15, 2009 7:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

Weird stuff happens in Stillwater & I think that ya’ll had some trouble with the run game of OSU. If last years UT/OSU game had been in Stillwater…..who knows???

by OU JJ on Aug 15, 2009 8:26 PM CDT reply actions  

And if last year’s OU/TT game had been in Lubbock…

by burntorangehorn on Aug 16, 2009 3:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

Does this even matter?

The two teams are going to play each other. So unless another flukey tiebreaker happens next season, which is highly unlikely, the teams could be #1 and #8 and it wouldn’t matter after October 17th.

by TheElusiveShadow on Aug 18, 2009 11:18 AM CDT reply actions  

Actually the Longhorns aren't in good position for another tie breaker

because their non-conference schedule is even worse this year. O-State steps in to take the role of Texas Tech last year. I’m not saying that it’s gonna happen, I’m just saying that a) it wasn’t a fluke last year (BIg 12 Coaches Agreed) and b) is isn’t as unlikely a scenario as one might think.

by ccmachine on Aug 19, 2009 12:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

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